Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Giroux 60.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 79.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 92.6%
Neutral zone
Giroux 82.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 83.4%
16.6%
83.4%
Hayton
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Hayton
Giroux
Last 8: Hayton 6-2 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
0
Hayton
Giroux
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Giroux
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Giroux
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
59.6% (606)
-7.0%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
69.3% (150)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
61.4% (220)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Home / Away
Hayton
Giroux
Home
53.9% (516)
65.7% (461)
Away
54.4% (504)
57.7% (515)
By Period
Hayton
Giroux
P1
55.1%
60.7%
P2
55.0%
63.7%
P3
51.7%
60.2%
OT
69.2%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
63.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |