Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Giroux 60.9% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 71.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 80.5%
Neutral zone
Giroux 55.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Hayton
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
60.3% (395)
-7.8%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
67.3% (107)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
65.4% (153)
-28.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Hayton
Giroux
Home
56.9% (432)
65.9% (337)
Away
47.4% (344)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Hayton
Giroux
P1
53.1%
62.1%
P2
50.3%
64.5%
P3
55.4%
60.9%
OT
25.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |