Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwindt on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schwindt shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Schwindt 50.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 58.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 59.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 61.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Hayton
Schwindt
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayton
Schwindt
Last 5: Hayton 3-2 Schwindt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
1
2
Hayton
Schwindt
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Schwindt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Schwindt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Schwindt
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
49.8% (209)
+2.8%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
50.0% (2)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
71.4% (7)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Schwindt has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwindt shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Schwindt is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Hayton
Schwindt
Home
53.9% (516)
47.2% (123)
Away
54.4% (504)
54.7% (95)
By Period
Hayton
Schwindt
P1
55.1%
50.8%
P2
55.0%
51.2%
P3
51.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |