Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Schwindt 46.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 58.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 73.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 65.4%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Hayton
Schwindt
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Schwindt
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Schwindt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Schwindt
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
43.4% (122)
+9.1%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
75.0% (4)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
44.4% (9)
-7.6%
On power play, Schwindt has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwindt shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Schwindt is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Hayton
Schwindt
Home
56.9% (432)
40.3% (77)
Away
47.4% (344)
50.0% (58)
By Period
Hayton
Schwindt
P1
53.1%
47.6%
P2
50.3%
42.9%
P3
55.4%
43.2%
Final 5 min
59.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |