Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Bedard 46.7% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 50.8%
Defensive zone
Hayton 50.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Hayton
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayton
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Hayton
Bedard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Bedard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Bedard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
44.2% (450)
+8.3%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
70.0% (30)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
53.8% (13)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bedard
Home
56.9% (432)
50.7% (223)
Away
47.4% (344)
42.2% (270)
By Period
Hayton
Bedard
P1
53.1%
40.8%
P2
50.3%
48.2%
P3
55.4%
48.0%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.5%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |