Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Bedard 40.7% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 52.6%
Defensive zone
Bedard 53.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 50.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Hayton
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hayton
Bedard
Last 6: Hayton 3-3 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
3
Hayton
Bedard
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
38.9% (512)
+11.4%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
43.8% (16)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
25.0% (4)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bedard
Home
47.4% (171)
40.2% (246)
Away
51.4% (247)
37.8% (286)
By Period
Hayton
Bedard
P1
49.6%
39.9%
P2
50.0%
38.5%
P3
49.0%
39.0%
OT
75.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |