Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Bedard 39.8% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 65.0%
Defensive zone
Bedard 50.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Hayton
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Hayton
Bedard
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
1
Hayton
Bedard
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
4
Hayton
Bedard
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
4
Hayton
Bedard
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
38.0% (618)
+14.6%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
38.7% (31)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
57.1% (7)
-4.0%
On power play, Hayton has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bedard
Home
53.9% (516)
40.5% (316)
Away
54.4% (504)
36.2% (340)
By Period
Hayton
Bedard
P1
55.1%
37.2%
P2
55.0%
36.9%
P3
51.7%
40.7%
OT
69.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:56 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |