Barrett Hayton vs Evan Rodrigues
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Rodrigues 46.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 68.6%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 76.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 74.7%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Hayton
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hayton
Rodrigues
Last 7: Hayton 1-6 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Rodrigues
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
2
Hayton
Rodrigues
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
3
Hayton
Rodrigues
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
46.2% (2,883)
+4.6%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
45.0% (298)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
42.9% (219)
+2.3%
On power play, Hayton has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Home / Away
Hayton
Rodrigues
Home
52.9% (2,268)
47.1% (1,820)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
44.4% (1,580)
By Period
Hayton
Rodrigues
P1
52.0%
46.9%
P2
51.4%
46.1%
P3
49.9%
44.6%
OT
58.1%
48.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 01:30 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |