Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.6% vs Nazar 46.2% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 54.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 51.1%
Neutral zone
Nazar 50.8%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Hayton
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayton
Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Nazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Nazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
1
Hayton
Nazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (483)
46.8% (393)
+5.8%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
49.4% (81)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
16.7% (30)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Hayton is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Hayton shoots left. Nazar is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Hayton
Nazar
Home
57.8% (301)
45.7% (243)
Away
47.7% (266)
45.2% (261)
By Period
Hayton
Nazar
P1
52.6%
47.0%
P2
49.3%
42.9%
P3
58.1%
45.3%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
53.1%
Nazar
46.0%▼
47.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |