Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Nazar 46.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 61.2%
Defensive zone
Nazar 64.4%
Neutral zone
Nazar 64.3%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Hayton
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Hayton
Nazar
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Nazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
3
5
Hayton
Nazar
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
1
Hayton
Nazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
46.9% (533)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
49.2% (132)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
25.6% (39)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Nazar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Home / Away
Hayton
Nazar
Home
56.9% (432)
45.0% (329)
Away
47.4% (344)
47.2% (375)
By Period
Hayton
Nazar
P1
53.1%
47.2%
P2
50.3%
43.1%
P3
55.4%
46.8%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |