Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Nazar 45.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 68.1%
Defensive zone
Nazar 74.2%
Neutral zone
Nazar 69.7%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Hayton
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Hayton
Nazar
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Nazar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
5
7
Hayton
Nazar
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
4
Hayton
Nazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
46.1% (866)
+4.7%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
46.5% (172)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
33.3% (69)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Nazar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Hayton
Nazar
Home
52.9% (2,268)
44.2% (536)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
46.4% (571)
By Period
Hayton
Nazar
P1
52.0%
47.3%
P2
51.4%
42.0%
P3
49.9%
46.0%
OT
58.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |