Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 56.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 57.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 59.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Hayton
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Hayton
Carter
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hayton
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Hayton
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
53.3% (8,728)
-2.5%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
57.3% (1,554)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
46.3% (1,087)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Hayton
Carter
Home
52.9% (2,268)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Hayton
Carter
P1
52.0%
53.6%
P2
51.4%
52.8%
P3
49.9%
53.1%
OT
58.1%
56.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |