Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Carter 56.4% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 51.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 51.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 51.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Hayton
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayton
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Hayton
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
57.9% (885)
-9.8%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
61.7% (133)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
45.4% (119)
-2.0%
On even strength, Carter has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Hayton
Carter
Home
48.8% (424)
58.2% (543)
Away
47.5% (438)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Hayton
Carter
P1
52.9%
57.5%
P2
47.3%
57.1%
P3
44.1%
55.8%
OT
70.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
44.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |