Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Carter 58.5% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 77.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 52.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 65.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Hayton
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hayton
Carter
Last 9: Hayton 4-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Hayton
Carter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Hayton
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
59.7% (727)
-8.7%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
68.1% (72)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
53.2% (139)
-8.2%
On power play, Carter has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Hayton
Carter
Home
54.6% (639)
58.7% (455)
Away
47.2% (591)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Hayton
Carter
P1
50.9%
61.3%
P2
52.7%
57.1%
P3
49.9%
59.8%
OT
41.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |