Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 65.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 64.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 67.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Hayton
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Hayton
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Hayton
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Hayton
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
51.5% (594)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
51.7% (87)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
28.6% (14)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Hayton
Pavelski
Home
47.4% (171)
53.1% (339)
Away
51.4% (247)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Hayton
Pavelski
P1
49.6%
53.8%
P2
50.0%
47.8%
P3
49.0%
50.2%
OT
75.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
58.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |