Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Scheifele 50.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 75.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 73.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 51.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Hayton
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Hayton
Scheifele
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
5
Hayton
Scheifele
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
8
2
Hayton
Scheifele
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Hayton
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
49.3% (649)
-1.2%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
55.7% (183)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
50.0% (16)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Hayton
Scheifele
Home
48.8% (424)
52.3% (440)
Away
47.5% (438)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Hayton
Scheifele
P1
52.9%
52.3%
P2
47.3%
50.4%
P3
44.1%
51.4%
OT
70.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | OT | 00:49 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |