Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 73.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 60.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 53.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Hayton
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Hayton
Scheifele
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
5
Hayton
Scheifele
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
2
Hayton
Scheifele
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
48.7% (981)
+3.9%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
53.2% (250)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
43.2% (37)
+9.9%
On power play, Hayton has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
Hayton
Scheifele
Home
53.9% (516)
50.0% (672)
Away
54.4% (504)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Hayton
Scheifele
P1
55.1%
51.4%
P2
55.0%
45.1%
P3
51.7%
51.9%
OT
69.2%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |