Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.6% vs Zibanejad 51.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 61.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 54.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 56.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Hayton
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Hayton
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Hayton
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (483)
53.8% (591)
-1.2%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
47.4% (38)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
43.6% (117)
-7.9%
On power play, Hayton has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hayton is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Hayton shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zibanejad
Home
57.8% (301)
48.2% (307)
Away
47.7% (266)
54.4% (439)
By Period
Hayton
Zibanejad
P1
52.6%
54.0%
P2
49.3%
51.0%
P3
58.1%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
59.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
53.1%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |