Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 51.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 55.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 54.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 50.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Hayton
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Hayton
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Hayton
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
53.4% (770)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
46.2% (39)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
44.7% (141)
-7.9%
On power play, Hayton has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zibanejad
Home
56.9% (432)
49.0% (429)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Hayton
Zibanejad
P1
53.1%
53.0%
P2
50.3%
51.1%
P3
55.4%
51.0%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |