Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 53.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 63.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Hayton
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hayton
Zibanejad
Last 9: Hayton 4-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
2
Hayton
Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Hayton
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
54.0% (955)
-5.9%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
55.6% (243)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
35.0% (140)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zibanejad
Home
48.8% (424)
55.2% (656)
Away
47.5% (438)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Hayton
Zibanejad
P1
52.9%
56.3%
P2
47.3%
50.0%
P3
44.1%
51.2%
OT
70.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
44.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |