Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Geekie 47.3% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 61.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 51.9%
Neutral zone
Geekie 53.8%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Hayton
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayton
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Hayton
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
45.7% (352)
+6.9%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
63.2% (19)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
33.3% (3)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Hayton
Geekie
Home
53.9% (516)
48.5% (165)
Away
54.4% (504)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Hayton
Geekie
P1
55.1%
48.5%
P2
55.0%
45.1%
P3
51.7%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |