Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Geekie 47.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 73.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 61.9%
Neutral zone
Geekie 52.1%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Hayton
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayton
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Hayton
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
47.0% (117)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
47.1% (34)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
0.0% (3)
+36.8%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Hayton
Geekie
Home
56.9% (432)
45.3% (75)
Away
47.4% (344)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Hayton
Geekie
P1
53.1%
43.1%
P2
50.3%
48.1%
P3
55.4%
47.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |