Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Bonino 51.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 52.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 66.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Hayton
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hayton
Bonino
Last 7: Hayton 5-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Hayton
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
51.7% (777)
-3.6%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
60.0% (50)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
43.9% (98)
-0.5%
On power play, Bonino has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bonino
Home
48.8% (424)
48.2% (461)
Away
47.5% (438)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Hayton
Bonino
P1
52.9%
54.1%
P2
47.3%
49.7%
P3
44.1%
50.7%
OT
70.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |