Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Bonino 48.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 55.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 53.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Hayton
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayton
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
48.1% (324)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
57.9% (38)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
44.3% (88)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bonino
Home
54.6% (639)
52.0% (244)
Away
47.2% (591)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Hayton
Bonino
P1
50.9%
48.0%
P2
52.7%
42.9%
P3
49.9%
53.9%
OT
41.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |