Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Hischier 56.2% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 90.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 75.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 74.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 78.7%
21.3%
78.7%
Hayton
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Hayton
Hischier
Last 8: Hayton 6-2 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Hayton
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
0
Hayton
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
56.1% (1,018)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
59.9% (289)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
51.3% (80)
-8.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Hayton
Hischier
Home
47.4% (171)
56.5% (706)
Away
51.4% (247)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Hayton
Hischier
P1
49.6%
54.8%
P2
50.0%
57.8%
P3
49.0%
57.6%
OT
75.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
58.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | OT | 01:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |