Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Hischier 54.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 61.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 55.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 55.6%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Hayton
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Hayton
Hischier
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
4
Hayton
Hischier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
55.0% (1,107)
-2.5%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
63.1% (252)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
43.6% (149)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Hayton
Hischier
Home
56.9% (432)
56.5% (763)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Hayton
Hischier
P1
53.1%
56.0%
P2
50.3%
57.6%
P3
55.4%
53.0%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |