Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Kapanen 47.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 63.8%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 66.8%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 62.1%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Hayton
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayton
Kapanen
Last 5: Hayton 1-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
2
Hayton
Kapanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Hayton
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Kapanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
47.5% (514)
+5.0%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
55.0% (40)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
39.5% (38)
-2.7%
On even strength, Hayton has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Kapanen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kapanen
Home
56.9% (432)
47.9% (307)
Away
47.4% (344)
47.0% (285)
By Period
Hayton
Kapanen
P1
53.1%
42.7%
P2
50.3%
51.4%
P3
55.4%
48.4%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |