Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Kapanen 47.4% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayton 52.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 61.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Hayton
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
44.4% (45)
+8.2%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
36.4% (11)
+26.9%
On power play, Hayton has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Kapanen is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kapanen
Home
53.9% (516)
39.4% (33)
Away
54.4% (504)
47.8% (23)
By Period
Hayton
Kapanen
P1
55.1%
42.9%
P2
55.0%
40.0%
P3
51.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
42.9%