Barrett Hayton vs Oliver Kapanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Kapanen 47.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 63.3%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 59.5%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 61.5%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Hayton
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayton
Kapanen
Last 5: Hayton 1-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
2
Hayton
Kapanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Hayton
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Kapanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
47.2% (559)
+3.6%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
51.0% (51)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
39.5% (38)
+5.7%
On power play, Hayton has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Kapanen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kapanen
Home
52.9% (2,268)
47.1% (340)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Hayton
Kapanen
P1
52.0%
42.7%
P2
51.4%
50.2%
P3
49.9%
48.2%
OT
58.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |