Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 80.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 65.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 72.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Hayton
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hayton
Stastny
Last 9: Hayton 6-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Hayton
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.8%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
59.1% (1,994)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
52.9% (1,119)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stastny
Home
52.9% (2,268)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Hayton
Stastny
P1
52.0%
56.3%
P2
51.4%
55.4%
P3
49.9%
53.5%
OT
58.1%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |