Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Stastny 56.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 74.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 64.4%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Hayton
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayton
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Hayton
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
57.5% (412)
-6.5%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
60.0% (65)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
44.4% (9)
+0.6%
On even strength, Stastny has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stastny
Home
54.6% (639)
58.3% (276)
Away
47.2% (591)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Hayton
Stastny
P1
50.9%
63.7%
P2
52.7%
57.3%
P3
49.9%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |