Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Stastny 55.4% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 90.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 63.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 80.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Hayton
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Stastny
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Hayton
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
59.2% (370)
-11.1%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
40.9% (44)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
51.7% (58)
-8.3%
On power play, Hayton has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stastny
Home
48.8% (424)
57.7% (215)
Away
47.5% (438)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Hayton
Stastny
P1
52.9%
57.7%
P2
47.3%
54.2%
P3
44.1%
57.7%
OT
70.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |