Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Johansen 52.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 65.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 70.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 57.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Hayton
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hayton
Johansen
Last 7: Hayton 3-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Hayton
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Hayton
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
49.4% (1,010)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
62.3% (236)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
67.2% (67)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Hayton
Johansen
Home
48.8% (424)
54.7% (655)
Away
47.5% (438)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Hayton
Johansen
P1
52.9%
52.2%
P2
47.3%
50.7%
P3
44.1%
54.8%
OT
70.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
44.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |