Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Johansen 52.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 59.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 57.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 62.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Hayton
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hayton
Johansen
Last 6: Hayton 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Hayton
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
51.9% (597)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
57.9% (133)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
54.3% (81)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Hayton
Johansen
Home
47.4% (171)
55.8% (387)
Away
51.4% (247)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Hayton
Johansen
P1
49.6%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
56.2%
P3
49.0%
52.6%
OT
75.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |