Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs McLeod 52.1% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 61.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 73.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 57.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Hayton
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hayton
McLeod
Last 7: Hayton 1-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Hayton
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Hayton
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Hayton
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
52.9% (904)
-0.3%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
57.6% (59)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
49.0% (241)
+4.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Hayton
McLeod
Home
53.9% (516)
51.8% (612)
Away
54.4% (504)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Hayton
McLeod
P1
55.1%
55.4%
P2
55.0%
50.8%
P3
51.7%
51.6%
OT
69.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |