Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs McLeod 47.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 57.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 68.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Hayton
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hayton
McLeod
Last 9: Hayton 4-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
2
Hayton
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Hayton
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Hayton
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
49.2% (796)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
44.8% (87)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
43.3% (263)
-6.5%
On power play, Hayton has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Hayton
McLeod
Home
56.9% (432)
49.2% (575)
Away
47.4% (344)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Hayton
McLeod
P1
53.1%
52.8%
P2
50.3%
45.1%
P3
55.4%
45.6%
OT
25.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |