Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Bennett 46.6% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 64.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 77.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 63.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Hayton
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Hayton
Bennett
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
2
Hayton
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
46.5% (909)
+6.1%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
43.1% (51)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
38.5% (13)
+14.6%
On power play, Hayton has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bennett
Home
53.9% (516)
45.4% (449)
Away
54.4% (504)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Hayton
Bennett
P1
55.1%
49.6%
P2
55.0%
43.7%
P3
51.7%
45.1%
OT
69.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | OT | 00:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |