Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Bennett 48.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 55.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 71.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 66.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Hayton
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hayton
Bennett
Last 9: Hayton 6-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Hayton
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
46.4% (780)
+6.1%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
57.3% (150)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
47.8% (46)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bennett
Home
56.9% (432)
50.3% (519)
Away
47.4% (344)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Hayton
Bennett
P1
53.1%
47.5%
P2
50.3%
46.6%
P3
55.4%
49.8%
OT
25.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |