Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.8%). Hayton wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.6% vs Couturier 53.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 57.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 65.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 54.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Hayton
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayton
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Hayton
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (483)
52.6% (624)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
66.7% (66)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
53.2% (188)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hayton is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Hayton shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Hayton
Couturier
Home
57.8% (301)
50.7% (424)
Away
47.7% (266)
56.6% (454)
By Period
Hayton
Couturier
P1
52.6%
55.5%
P2
49.3%
51.7%
P3
58.1%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.8%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
53.1%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |