Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Couturier 54.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 68.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 54.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 64.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Hayton
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayton
Couturier
Last 5: Hayton 3-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Hayton
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
57.4% (303)
-9.3%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
65.5% (55)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
40.0% (70)
+3.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Hayton
Couturier
Home
48.8% (424)
54.3% (219)
Away
47.5% (438)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Hayton
Couturier
P1
52.9%
53.2%
P2
47.3%
54.8%
P3
44.1%
57.9%
OT
70.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
44.9%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |