Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Couturier 55.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 54.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 54.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Hayton
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hayton
Couturier
Last 7: Hayton 3-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Hayton
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Hayton
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
55.1% (1,008)
-2.5%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
64.1% (142)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
53.3% (45)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Hayton
Couturier
Home
53.9% (516)
58.1% (609)
Away
54.4% (504)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Hayton
Couturier
P1
55.1%
55.3%
P2
55.0%
55.8%
P3
51.7%
57.4%
OT
69.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |