Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +22.4% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Zegras 35.4% (+22.4%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 64.8%
Defensive zone
Hayton 76.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 66.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Hayton
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
29.6% (230)
+22.9%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
32.1% (56)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
100.0% (1)
-63.2%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zegras
Home
56.9% (432)
30.6% (147)
Away
47.4% (344)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Hayton
Zegras
P1
53.1%
33.0%
P2
50.3%
31.7%
P3
55.4%
25.6%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%