Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.7%). Look for Dellandrea on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Dellandrea 50.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 58.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 57.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 61.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Hayton
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hayton
Dellandrea
Last 6: Hayton 1-5 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
4
Hayton
Dellandrea
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Hayton
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
52.3% (174)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
100.0% (1)
-43.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
38.5% (26)
+6.5%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Dellandrea is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dellandrea
Home
54.6% (639)
48.1% (108)
Away
47.2% (591)
53.8% (93)
By Period
Hayton
Dellandrea
P1
50.9%
55.4%
P2
52.7%
52.5%
P3
49.9%
46.1%
OT
41.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |