Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.3%). Look for Dellandrea on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 74.8%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 72.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 54.8%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Hayton
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hayton
Dellandrea
Last 7: Hayton 2-5 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Hayton
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
3
Hayton
Dellandrea
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
54.1% (355)
-1.6%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
53.8% (13)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
47.6% (143)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Dellandrea has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dellandrea
Home
56.9% (432)
54.3% (278)
Away
47.4% (344)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Hayton
Dellandrea
P1
53.1%
54.2%
P2
50.3%
50.6%
P3
55.4%
51.8%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |