Scouting Report
Ben Jones holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 52.0% vs Lizotte 50.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 58.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 67.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Jones
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jones
Lizotte
Last 5: Jones 2-3 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
1
0
Jones
Lizotte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
1
Jones
Lizotte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
2
Jones
Lizotte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (118)
52.9% (342)
-0.4%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
25.0% (4)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
43.1% (130)
+14.0%
On power play, Jones has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Jones is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Jones shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Jones
Lizotte
Home
51.4% (70)
44.2% (242)
Away
56.1% (57)
56.0% (234)
By Period
Jones
Lizotte
P1
54.2%
49.6%
P2
46.4%
46.9%
P3
56.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
46.0%▼
52.6%
53.5%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Ben Jones |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |