Scouting Report
Ben Jones holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 51.6% vs Lizotte 50.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 61.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 50.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Jones
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jones
Lizotte
Last 5: Jones 2-3 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
1
0
Jones
Lizotte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
1
Jones
Lizotte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
2
Jones
Lizotte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (143)
51.6% (3,068)
+0.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
48.1% (81)
+51.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
42.3% (437)
+14.8%
On power play, Jones has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Jones is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Jones shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Home / Away
Jones
Lizotte
Home
51.8% (83)
49.5% (1,840)
Away
53.6% (69)
51.4% (1,746)
By Period
Jones
Lizotte
P1
51.0%
48.0%
P2
53.5%
52.3%
P3
53.4%
50.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
46.0%▼
52.6%
52.6%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Ben Jones |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |