Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kindel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Nelson 50.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 57.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 52.9%
Neutral zone
Kindel 50.0%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Kindel
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kindel
Nelson
Last 6: Kindel 3-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
2
Kindel
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
1
0
Kindel
Nelson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
1
Kindel
Nelson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
50.7% (879)
-7.6%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
58.6% (162)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
43.4% (198)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Kindel
Nelson
Home
46.1% (267)
52.3% (621)
Away
42.9% (273)
48.9% (618)
By Period
Kindel
Nelson
P1
41.5%
48.4%
P2
45.8%
53.5%
P3
42.6%
50.3%
OT
91.7%
41.2%
Final 5 min
39.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |