Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Donato 48.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 51.6%
Defensive zone
Kindel 57.0%
Neutral zone
Kindel 55.5%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Kindel
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kindel
Donato
Last 5: Kindel 2-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kindel
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
2
Kindel
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
48.1% (258)
-5.0%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
43.2% (37)
+12.1%
On power play, Kindel has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Kindel
Donato
Home
46.1% (267)
45.8% (142)
Away
42.9% (273)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Kindel
Donato
P1
41.5%
48.1%
P2
45.8%
46.6%
P3
42.6%
46.8%
OT
91.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |