Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 44.5%). Look for Donato on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Donato 44.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 60.4%
Defensive zone
Kindel 62.8%
Neutral zone
Kindel 51.7%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Kindel
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kindel
Donato
Last 5: Kindel 2-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kindel
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
2
Kindel
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
44.2% (1,179)
-1.1%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
46.3% (246)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
36.4% (11)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Kindel
Donato
Home
46.1% (267)
47.2% (743)
Away
42.9% (273)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Kindel
Donato
P1
41.5%
43.4%
P2
45.8%
45.1%
P3
42.6%
44.4%
OT
91.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |