Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Monahan 52.8% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 82.2%
Defensive zone
Kindel 82.9%
Neutral zone
Kindel 82.7%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Kindel
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kindel
Monahan
Last 8: Kindel 1-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Kindel
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Kindel
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
53.2% (823)
-10.1%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
55.3% (159)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
48.4% (95)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Kindel
Monahan
Home
46.1% (267)
54.6% (529)
Away
42.9% (273)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Kindel
Monahan
P1
41.5%
49.0%
P2
45.8%
55.4%
P3
42.6%
53.6%
OT
91.7%
61.9%
Final 5 min
39.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |