Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Monahan 51.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 86.4%
Defensive zone
Kindel 86.2%
Neutral zone
Kindel 85.8%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Kindel
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kindel
Monahan
Last 8: Kindel 1-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Kindel
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Kindel
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
51.1% (11,356)
-8.0%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
53.7% (2,580)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
46.0% (766)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Kindel
Monahan
Home
46.1% (267)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
42.9% (273)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Kindel
Monahan
P1
41.5%
50.9%
P2
45.8%
51.7%
P3
42.6%
51.0%
OT
91.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
39.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |